Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.436743 0.477285 0.521392 0.573204 0.632739 0.699414 0.780313
2025-10-26 0.362407 0.416454 0.479787 0.560532 0.662310 0.788563 0.960708
2025-11-02 0.316991 0.375976 0.448470 0.546102 0.677394 0.852979 1.115261
2025-11-09 0.285955 0.347251 0.425347 0.535094 0.690550 0.911916 1.270107
2025-11-16 0.262368 0.324678 0.406416 0.525402 0.701563 0.966639 1.428243
2025-11-23 0.243741 0.306465 0.390812 0.517408 0.712333 1.020809 1.596860
2025-11-30 0.233624 0.298574 0.388184 0.527076 0.750158 1.123478 1.879258
2025-12-07 0.221446 0.286678 0.378533 0.524663 0.767706 1.194223 2.121850
2025-12-14 0.210676 0.275881 0.369394 0.521725 0.783408 1.263834 2.385377
2025-12-21 0.198390 0.262034 0.354578 0.508077 0.778454 1.292906 2.565747
2025-12-28 0.193982 0.259349 0.356282 0.521304 0.822853 1.428268 3.068817
2026-01-04 0.189106 0.255586 0.355924 0.530840 0.861548 1.560421 3.635243
2026-01-11 0.182203 0.248588 0.350341 0.531487 0.884655 1.667257 4.206380
2026-01-18 0.173406 0.238253 0.338800 0.520663 0.883682 1.718629 4.632246
2026-01-25 0.164945 0.227986 0.326703 0.507714 0.876538 1.753391 5.026260
2026-02-01 0.157753 0.219343 0.316739 0.497798 0.874499 1.801254 5.519602
2026-02-08 0.151334 0.211609 0.307822 0.489058 0.873852 1.853136 6.085979
2026-02-15 0.145660 0.204795 0.300056 0.481843 0.875666 1.912897 6.762796
2026-02-22 0.143128 0.202903 0.300534 0.490568 0.915287 2.096293 8.396080
2026-03-01 0.138951 0.198126 0.295725 0.488391 0.928796 2.203685 9.750442
2026-03-08 0.134966 0.193487 0.290890 0.485740 0.940803 2.310782 11.340259
2026-03-15 0.129732 0.186568 0.281674 0.473415 0.926952 2.324965 12.186625
2026-03-22 0.128468 0.186200 0.284093 0.485360 0.977081 2.588841 16.328205